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IAG Blog Spot

Jungle

IAG Blog Spot 2017-05-24 09:54:41

Last Wednesday’s blog highlighted the rarity of stock market record highs. That very same day the U.S. financial markets turned in their biggest drop of the year. No, we do not have prognosticative abilities. But we like it when the market helps prove our point.

In our view, last week Wednesday’s drop was a bull market jungle test.

 

Record Highs

IAG Blog Spot 2017-05-18 06:34:50

Over the last 8 trading days, the S&P 500 Index has reached 4 new record highs. That is fairly rarified air.

Since January 1, 1951, there have only been 1,161 trading days on which the S&P 500 reached a record high. That is less than 7% of all trading days.

This means that an undiversified portfolio holding only U.S. large cap stocks would be worth less than its peak value 93% of the time. Not very uplifting is it?

 

Surprises

IAG Blog Spot 2017-05-11 07:57:06

Snow!

I clearly remember May 10, 1990. The odds of snow that day in the Milwaukee area were 0% according to the weather experts.

Yet some areas in southeastern Wisconsin received over 7 inches of thick, wet snow that took down thousands of trees that had leafed out for spring. Some schools even had a snow day in May. Surprise!

Thunder Snow!

 

Triple Crown

IAG Blog Spot 2017-05-04 08:49:00

The 143rd running of the Kentucky Derby is scheduled for this Saturday, May 5. At roughly 2 minutes per race, this race has lasted a grand total of less than 5 hours over the last 142 years, yet it remains a ritual of the American spring with all of its peculiar traditions.

The Kentucky Derby is the first race of the elusive Triple Crown. To claim the trifecta, a horse must also win the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes. Only 12 horses have managed this feat.

Right now the jockeys of the financial markets are also seeking a triple crown

Indecisive

IAG Blog Spot 2017-04-27 03:23:46

Big decisions are tough to make. Some folks make a list of the all the advantages and disadvantages and ponder them for days before reaching a decision. Others do a little research and then go with their gut feeling. Still others completely avoid making big decisions because of the angst it causes.

Right now it seems like traders are employing all three of these strategies in determining whether stocks should be bought, sold, or just held

Change Your Future

IAG Blog Spot 2017-04-19 09:29:43

Yesterday was it. You either had to have your 2016 income taxes prepared or file an extension to buy more time from the IRS.

Today is day 109 of 2017. That means 30% of your 2017 tax return is already written.

Are there any changes you should be making now to rewrite the rest of your 2017 tax return based on your 2016 tax results?

Less Predictable

IAG Blog Spot 2017-04-11 12:21:52

Whether you agree or disagree with President Trump’s policies, most people will readily agree that he is very different than any other President they have observed over their lifetimes.

His decision-making process for taking action in Syria and North Korea will likely be overanalyzed, acclaimed, and derided for the next few weeks or even months. It seems likely that global leaders will continue to test him to gain clarity and perceived predictability on how he will react to different situations.

Mistakes Were Made

IAG Blog Spot 2017-04-04 02:54:11

The dawning of a new baseball season is always exciting. It means summer is just around the corner and expectations for your team are typically unrealistically optimistic.

Monday’s start for the Brewers launched them once again into the lead for the entire league in . . .

SKEWed

IAG Blog Spot 2017-03-28 04:35:25

Below are two definitions for the word skew:

• Make biased or distorted in a way that is regarded as inaccurate, unfair, or misleading

• To distort especially from a true value or symmetrical form

Given the political climate these days it may be almost instinct to think of “fake news” or “alternative facts” when you read these definitions, but our focus today is the SKEW Index.

Extraordinary Day

IAG Blog Spot 2017-03-14 04:17:19

Tomorrow is Extraordinary Day.

Extraordinary Day has nothing to do with extraordinary basketball brackets or extraordinary weather, although both will be in the headlines I am sure.

Tomorrow is the much lesser-known Extraordinary Day when the U.S. Treasury must start using “extraordinary measures” to continue paying the bills for a government that consistently overspends its means but no longer has access to the credit card

Warren Buffet: “Mr. Market is there to serve you, not to guide you. It is his pocketbook, not his wisdom, that you will find useful. If he shows up someday in a particularly foolish mood, you are free to either ignore him or take advantage of him, but it will be disastrous if you fall under his influence.”

 

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